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Polymarket wallet 0xa127adb245093d9801c7a57dc18c27c67fffa9e5 · on Polymarket since Jan 22, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iran Strike on Israel by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 93 | 31¢ → 100¢ | $93 | +$64 +221% |
| US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 22 | 45¢ → 100¢ | $22 | +$12 +122% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 45¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +122% |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 77 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 53 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 80 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 256 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 245d | Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | BuyYes25¢ | $9 |
| 245d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | SellUS58¢ | $9 |
| 273d | Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by March 31? | BuyYes10¢ | $8 |
| 273d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026? | BuyYes45¢ | $1 |
| 273d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes19¢ | $10 |
| 273d | Will Israel strike 2 countries in January 2026? | BuyYes16¢ | $10 |
| 273d | Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | BuyYes35¢ | $10 |
| 273d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | BuyUS67¢ | $10 |
| 273d | Iran Strike on Israel by February 28? | BuyYes35¢ | $10 |
| 273d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes19¢ | $10 |
| 273d | US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes45¢ | $10 |
| 273d | US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026? | BuyYes13¢ | $10 |
| 273d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.