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Polymarket wallet 0xa231548c2b2cdfc40be3035d35b97589a0376f41 · on Polymarket since Jan 17, 2026 · also shown as Polished-Beech
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kristi Noem divorce by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 31¢ → 100¢ | $16 | +$11 +222% |
| Will Morgan Stanley or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Kharg" or "Island" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 19 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will United States win the Men's Ice Hockey silver medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 70 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 57 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Will Trump say "Khamenei" or "Khomeini" during Address to the Nation?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 49¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.