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Polymarket · PoliticsClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crypto / Bitcoin | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| NATO | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Hormuz | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| April Fool / April Fool's | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Nuclear | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ceasefire / Peace Deal | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Operation Epic Fury | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Six Seven | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Bibi / Netanyahu | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Oil / Gas 3+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Fake News | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Kharg / Island | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Regime Change | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Mission Accomplished | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| God 3+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Khamenei / Khomeini | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| MAGA / Make America Great Again | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Proxy / Hezbollah | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Objective / Goal 3+ times | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Obliterated / Obliteration | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Obama | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Sacrifice | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Peace Through Strength | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Vance / Rubio | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Congress | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Qatar | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Holy / Evil | 100% | — | — | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 205d | Odysseus7 | Sacrifice | SellNo>99¢ | $2,379 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | Odysseus7 | Sacrifice | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,377 | +$4 +0.1% | 20 |
| 205d | AnonSequitur | Six Seven | SellNo>99¢ | $3,563 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | ShearedGoat | Fake News | SellNo>99¢ | $2,597 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | 0x6ed8…2edd | NATO | SellNo>99¢ | $1,587 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | 0x653d63e4f2d7112a19f5eb993890a3f27b48ada5 | Oil / Gas 3+ times | SellYes>99¢ | $2,123 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | Trustinghorse | Six Seven | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,682 | +$3 +0.1% | 20 |
| 205d |  DogePlayMid | Mission Accomplished | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,549 | +$2 +0.1% | 20 |
| 205d | Trustinghorse2 fills | Hormuz | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,020 | +$8 +0.1% | 20 |
| 205d | Trustinghorse | Ceasefire / Peace Deal | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,354 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 205d |  seal7 | Crypto / Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,199 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | Heavy-Boulder | NATO | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,285 | −$17 −0.8% | — |
| 205d |  nibelung.retired | Crypto / Bitcoin | SellNo>99¢ | $1,222 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | polymeth | Hormuz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,114 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 205d |  ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Six Seven | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,046 | +$1 +0.1% | 20 |
| 205d | ArmageddonRewardsBilly | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $134,744 | +$135 +0.1% | 20 |
| 205d |  Debosnys | Kharg / Island | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,005 | +$10 +1.0% | 20 |
| 205d | asxasd | Ceasefire / Peace Deal | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,018 | +$11 +1.0% | 20 |
| 205d |  Parz1vaI | Mission Accomplished | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,782 | +$57 +2.1% | 20 |
| 205d |  noreasapa | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo>99¢ | $51,306 | +$107 +0.2% | 20 |
| 205d |  J1JB | Hormuz | SellYes>99¢ | $1,520 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 205d |  aenews2 | Hormuz | SellYes>99¢ | $2,346 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 205d |  BlondBeast2 fills | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $5,349 | +$71 +1.3% | 20 |
| 205d |  kgjkkl | Hormuz | SellYes>99¢ | $3,064 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 205d | noreasapa | Operation Epic Fury | BuyYes>99¢ | $8,953 | +$9 +0.1% | 20 |
| 205d |  Slowroasted | Operation Epic Fury | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,475 | −$25 −1.0% | — |
| 205d | MadDawq | Obama | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,734 | −$18 −1.0% | — |
| 205d | Slowroasted | Nuclear | SellYes>99¢ | $2,421 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 205d |  Car | Nuclear | BuyYes>99¢ | $6,388 | +$13 +0.2% | 20 |
| 205d |  Dragontree | Operation Epic Fury | BuyYes>99¢ | $3,501 | +$16 +0.4% | 20 |
| 205d | Trustinghorse | -No Qualifying Event- | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,762 | +$11 +0.2% | 20 |
| 205d | 0x653d63e4f2d7112a19f5eb993890a3f27b48ada5 | Oil / Gas 3+ times | BuyYes76¢ → 100¢ | $1,615 | +$510 +32% | 20 |
| 205d | djdacj | Ceasefire / Peace Deal | BuyYes56¢ → 0¢ | $1,495 | −$1,495 −100% | 20 |
| 205d |  Tenebrus72 fills | April Fool / April Fool's | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $2,795 | +$170 +6.1% | 22 |
| 205d | Awkward-Bride | Regime Change | BuyYes48¢ → 100¢ | $1,769 | +$1,911 +108% | 23 |
| 205d | bulgakov84 | Oil / Gas 3+ times | BuyYes72¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$1,561 +39% | 20 |
| 205d |  starbuck02 | Nuclear | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,027 | +$67 +2.2% | 20 |
| 205d | roverpredicts | NATO | SellYes92¢ → 0¢ | $1,122 | +$1,122 +100% | — |
| 205d | Car | -No Qualifying Event- | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,607 | +$22 +0.6% | 20 |
| 205d |  MysticFind8 fills | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $35,983 | +$593 +1.6% | 20 |
| 205d | AnonSequitur | Six Seven | BuyNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,461 | +$59 +4.1% | 20 |
| 205d | BrightSpringFox | Bibi / Netanyahu | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,487 | +$622 +25% | 20 |
| 205d |  mrbone | NATO | BuyYes93¢ → 0¢ | $1,067 | −$1,067 −100% | 20 |
| 205d | J1JB | Hormuz | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | +$157 +12% | 20 |
| 205d | liquidityp00l | NATO | SellYes91¢ → 0¢ | $1,929 | +$1,929 +100% | — |
| 205d |  inactivetosummer | Six Seven | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $2,597 | +$138 +5.3% | 20 |
| 205d | aenews2 | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,689 | +$41 +1.5% | 20 |
| 205d | degenor | Ceasefire / Peace Deal | BuyYes59¢ → 0¢ | $4,200 | −$4,200 −100% | 20 |
| 205d | gateway- | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $3,746 | +$80 +2.1% | 20 |
| 205d | steeplejack | Fake News | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $2,454 | +$821 +33% | 20 |
| 205d |  LlamaLoco00003 fills | NATO | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $4,480 | −$4,480 −100% | 23 |
| 205d |  Bertapotamous | Proxy / Hezbollah | BuyYes73¢ → 100¢ | $2,259 | +$846 +37% | 20 |
| 205d | seal7 | Crypto / Bitcoin | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,175 | +$25 +2.1% | 20 |
| 205d | AvishaiBass | Mission Accomplished | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,736 | +$277 +16% | 20 |
| 205d |  SnowballHustle | Operation Epic Fury | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $2,007 | +$199 +9.9% | 20 |
| 205d |  KingZeManel | Operation Epic Fury | BuyYes90¢ → 100¢ | $1,007 | +$114 +11% | 20 |
| 205d | steeplejack | April Fool / April Fool's | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $5,728 | +$498 +8.7% | 23 |
| 205d | Dragontree2 fills | Khamenei / Khomeini | BuyYes42¢ → 0¢ | $2,265 | −$2,265 −100% | 31 |
| 205d | 0xe7b0…24c8 | Mission Accomplished | BuyYes19¢ → 0¢ | $1,418 | −$1,418 −100% | 32 |
| 205d | keks88 | NATO | BuyYes92¢ → 0¢ | $3,000 | −$3,000 −100% | 23 |
insanelgreat5,268 sharesDonald Trump is scheduled to deliver an Address to the Nation at 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the Address to the Nation scheduled for April 1, 2026 at 9PM ET. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count. Instances where the term is used in a compound word will count regardless of context (e.g., joyful is not a compound word for "joy," however, "killjoy" is a compounding of the words "kill" and "joy"). This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the event titled "The President delivers an Address to the Nation" scheduled for 9PM ET on April 1, 2026. (See: https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If the event contains a Q&A, it will count toward the resolution of this market. AI-generated audio or video will not count toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by April 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be video of the events. Only remarks which are broadcast or streamed live will count toward this market's resolution.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Crypto / Bitcoin means the market gives it about 0%.