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Polymarket wallet 0xa2631eb310909656581f444e04ec91a6ec63de38 · on Polymarket since Jan 26, 2026 · also shown as Flaky-Glue
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 90 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$13 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 143 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Russia capture Hryshyne by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 54 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 48 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 260d | Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes9¢ | $1 |
| 260d | Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $1 |
| 260d | Will Russia capture Hryshyne by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes15¢ | $1 |
| 260d | Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $2 |
| 270d | Will Russia capture all of Myrnohrad by January 31? | BuyYes6¢ | $10 |
| 270d | Will Russia capture Hryshyne by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes21¢ | $10 |
| 270d | Will Russia capture all of Kupiansk by March 31? | BuyYes7¢ | $10 |
| 270d | Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes25¢ | $10 |
| 270d | Will Russia enter Malokaterynivka by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes13¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.