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Polymarket wallet 0xa3d80ace022b1313c26a4c94a0c4800e2d4163c7 · on Polymarket since May 13, 2026 · also shown as Brilliant-Porthole
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Ends in 746d | Yes | 1,750 | 28¢ → 15¢ | $268 | −$227 −46% |
| Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?Ends in 69d | Yes | 4,003 | 24¢ → 5¢ | $202 | −$768 −79% |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,912 | 17¢ → 4¢ | $130 | −$365 −74% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 192d | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BuyYes23¢ | $475 |
| 196d | Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? | BuyYes26¢ | $495 |
| 198d | Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | BuyYes17¢ | $495 |
| 225d | Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | BuyYes28¢ | $495 |
| 294d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyYes11¢ | $198 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.