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Polymarket wallet 0xa40cfaa94c223bcfad8be0fb3008d22c0d9f0fd5 · on Polymarket since Jan 1, 2026 · also shown as Meaty-Scent
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 195 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$85 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - February 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 24 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 26¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 235d | U.S. evacuates Baghdad Embassy by March 31? | BuyYes43¢ | $85 |
| 235d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | SellDown87¢ | $71 |
| 235d | S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on March 2? | BuyDown81¢ | $66 |
| 247d | US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $3 |
| 258d | Solana Up or Down - February 7, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET | BuyDown8¢ | $2 |
| 258d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 7, 3:30AM-3:45AM ET | BuyUp<1¢ | $2 |
| 258d | Solana Up or Down - February 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BuyUp36¢ | $1 |
| 258d | Solana Up or Down - February 7, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET | BuyUp42¢ | $1 |
| 294d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 1, 5PM ET | BuyDown26¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.