Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Loading the chart…
| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| March 31 | 0% | −6 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| February 28 | 0% | 0 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| April 30 | 0% | −1 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 190d |  Babymunk | April 30 | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $1,116 | −$49 −4.4% | — |
| 206d | beatyesterday | March 31 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,613 | +$25 +1.5% | 4 |
| 206d |  scout | March 31 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,963 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 214d | Huludubu2 fills | March 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $4,884 | +$468 +9.6% | 4 |
| 214d | Worthless-Place | March 31 | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $1,658 | +$171 +10% | 5 |
| 217d | Trustinghorse4 fills | March 31 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $17,727 | +$4,359 +25% | 4 |
| 217d |  LinaBell4 fills | March 31 | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $10,999 | +$2,895 +26% | 4 |
| 217d | answerman2 fills | March 31 | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $2,324 | −$2,324 −100% | 8 |
| 218d | Rustynail73422 fills | March 31 | BuyNo83¢ → 100¢ | $4,000 | +$818 +20% | 4 |
| 218d |  Cheddar-Factory | March 31 | BuyNo77¢ → 100¢ | $1,212 | +$362 +30% | 4 |
| 220d | LuizBonfa | March 31 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,437 | +$609 +25% | 4 |
| 236d | cripes3 | February 28 | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,008 | −$11 −1.1% | — |
| 264d | phantomscr1pt | February 28 | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$251 +25% | 4 |
Spirit-LT2,104 sharesThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces a full evacuation of the U.S. Embassy in Baghdad, Iraq, or a full evacuation of the embassy is otherwise confirmed by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A full evacuation announced within this market's timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual evacuation subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Announcements of a partial evacuation, where some staff are intended to remain, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the U.S. government, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming the evacuation of the embassy.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for March 31 means the market gives it about 0%.