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Polymarket wallet 0xa426732ab66d593401b1f46461896eb465c03dda · on Polymarket since Oct 19, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election?Ends in 35d | Yes | 356 | 70¢ → 64¢ | $226 | −$24 −9.6% |
| Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate?Ends in 10d | Yes | 280 | 52¢ → 65¢ | $182 | +$37 +26% |
| Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 274 | 71¢ → 67¢ | $182 | −$13 −6.7% |
| Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election?Ends ended | Yes | 149 | 67¢ → 95¢ | $142 | +$42 +42% |
| 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D HouseEnds in 10d | Yes | 135 | 62¢ → 67¢ | $90 | +$6 +7.3% |
| Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%?Ends ended | Yes | 152 | 28¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$41 −97% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 80 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 83 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 9d | Will oil be at least $85 on November 2 and the Democrats win the Senate? | BuyYes52¢ | $154 |
| 10d | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BuyYes62¢ | $53 |
| 12d | 2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House | BuyYes62¢ | $36 |
| 12d | Will "Remain" win the Alberta independence referendum by 60–80%? | BuyYes28¢ | $45 |
| 13d | Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? | BuyYes71¢ | $205 |
| 14d | Will NDP win the second most seats in the 2026 British Columbia general election? | BuyYes67¢ | $105 |
| 14d | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BuyYes68¢ | $158 |
| 16d | Will Chiang Wan-an win the next Taipei Mayor election? | BuyYes74¢ | $105 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28? | BuyNo3¢ | $2 |
| 237d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31? | BuyNo2¢ | $2 |
| 272d | Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs? | BuyNo70¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.