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Polymarket wallet 0xa4358bb106af3cc4b6bf3d7a0669444dc2c2ba72 · on Polymarket since Jan 14, 2026 · also shown as Present-Stitcher
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Penguin listed on Binance by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 69¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +45% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 14 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 12 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)Settled - ready to redeem | Pimblett | 4 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Trump approval Up or Down this week?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 266d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo35¢ | $3 |
| 270d | Penguin listed on Binance by March 31? | BuyNo69¢ | $1 |
| 272d | U.S. strike on Somalia by January 31? | BuyNo35¢ | $1 |
| 272d | UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card) | BuyPimblett69¢ | $3 |
| 272d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo30¢ | $1 |
| 276d | Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings? | SellNo63¢ | $3 |
| 276d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | SellIsrael34¢ | $1 |
| 276d | Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings? | BuyNo25¢ | $1 |
| 277d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | SellYes7¢ | $4 |
| 277d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes7¢ | $1 |
| 277d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | BuyIsrael31¢ | $1 |
| 277d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $5 |
| 277d | Trump approval Up or Down this week? | BuyUp51¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.