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Polymarket wallet 0xa46cdf29b7793d9e06a01880923c66861b20bbbc · on Polymarket since Dec 21, 2025 · also shown as Tricky-Median
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 13,798 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4,024 −100% |
| Lighter Airdrop on December 27?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,762 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$106 −100% |
| Lighter market cap (FDV) >$6B one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,679 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$845 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down on December 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Up | 7,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.