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Polymarket wallet 0xa4c8dfe76fc24605ff1225aff9526f39bc2c84ea · on Polymarket since Oct 31, 2024 · also shown as Excitable-Estimate
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 700 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office?Settled - ready to redeem | Mufasa | 50 | 13¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 45¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 509d | Will Karol Nawrocki be the next President of Poland? | BuyNo1¢ | $7 |
| 680d | 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office? | BuyMufasa13¢ | $5 |
| 680d | 'Mufasa' vs. 'Sonic 3' opening weekend box office? | BuyMufasa12¢ | $1 |
| 687d | Will Rafał Trzaskowski be the next President of Poland? | BuyYes57¢ | $3 |
| 687d | Will Jerome Powell say "tariff" during December FOMC Press Conference? | BuyNo45¢ | $0 |
| 701d | Will Gaetz be sworn in with the new congress? | BuyYes17¢ | $1 |
| 702d | No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting? | BuyYes38¢ | $2 |
| 703d | Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days? | BuyNo61¢ | $3 |
| 717d | Will a Democrat win Missouri Presidential Election? | BuyYes3¢ | $1 |
| 717d | Will a Democrat win Missouri Presidential Election? | BuyYes3¢ | $3 |
| 723d | Will Barcelona win La Liga? | BuyYes59¢ | $1 |
| 723d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes36¢ | $24 |
| 723d | No change in Fed interest rates after 2024 November meeting? | BuyYes9¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.