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Polymarket wallet 0xa4f1f8e581c51ad7c004afc3d8d89a9f006539e2 · on Polymarket since Jan 21, 2026 · also shown as Pitiful-Risk
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netanyahu out by end of 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 54¢ → 59¢ | $35 | +$3 +8.3% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 in February?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 750 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 5,190 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 76 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| Apple (AAPL) Up or Down on January 29?Settled - ready to redeem | Down | 500 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in January?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 400 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 21¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$106 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 27, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 500 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,760 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$91 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.