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Polymarket wallet 0xa5e8d181081987c2430936b688c553884de6a0fa · on Polymarket since Jan 16, 2025 · also shown as Intelligent-Aperitif
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 686 | 14¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$96 −100% |
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 575 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,041 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,461 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$103 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 50,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| Israel announces ceasefire by January 17?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 79 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$46 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,450 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 645d | Israel announces ceasefire by Sunday? | BuyNo14¢ | $96 |
| 645d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after March 2025 meeting? | BuyYes2¢ | $103 |
| 645d | Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $2 |
| 646d | Israel announces ceasefire by January 17? | BuyNo58¢ | $46 |
| 646d | Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by January 31, 2025? | BuyYes2¢ | $50 |
| 646d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $100 |
| 646d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2025 meeting? | BuyYes3¢ | $200 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.