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Polymarket wallet 0xa64c075e06d0044580fca4faf258bda90fa892d8 · on Polymarket since Aug 24, 2026 · also shown as Melodic-Penalty
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027?Ends in 164d | No | 210 | 24¢ → 30¢ | $62 | +$12 +24% |
| Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 71 | 70¢ → 70¢ | $50 | $0 0.0% |
| Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 79 | 63¢ → 63¢ | $50 | −$0 −0.8% |
| Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races?Ends in 16d | Yes | 96 | 52¢ → 51¢ | $49 | −$1 −1.9% |
| Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Ends ended | Yes | 208 | 24¢ → 21¢ | $43 | −$7 −15% |
| Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026?Ends in 16d | Yes | 20 | 96¢ → 96¢ | $19 | −$0 −0.3% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2d | Will the Democrats win the Georgia Senate race in 2026? | BuyYes96¢ | $19 |
| 2d | Will Democrats win all "core four" senate races? | BuyYes52¢ | $51 |
| 2d | Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? | BuyYes70¢ | $51 |
| 2d | Jair Bolsonaro released from custody by March 31, 2027? | BuyNo24¢ | $52 |
| 2d | Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026? | BuyYes63¢ | $51 |
| 2d | Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? | BuyYes24¢ | $52 |
| 55d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | SellUp35¢ | $125 |
| 55d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | BuyUp53¢ | $103 |
| 55d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET | BuyUp52¢ | $103 |
| 55d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET | BuyDown72¢ | $102 |
| 55d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | SellDown99¢ | $165 |
| 55d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET | BuyDown60¢ | $103 |
| 55d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | SellDown66¢ | $81 |
| 55d | Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET | BuyDown66¢ | $102 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.