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Polymarket wallet 0xa6ede107f4c4b42f10ad115a41bb7e2fb001d2bf · on Polymarket since Nov 15, 2024
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3,500 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| US forces enter Iran by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 800 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$200 −100% |
| Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 738 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$166 −100% |
| Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2,850 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$41 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 14 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.