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Polymarket · EconomyClosed
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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency | 0% | −19 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Gold | 0% | −8 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Integrity | 0% | −39 pts | −35 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Good Day | 0% | −28 pts | −34 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| 2008 / Financial Crisis | 100% | +56 pts | +52 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| CapEx / Capital Expenditure | 100% | +70 pts | +49 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Task Force 5+ times | 0% | −33 pts | −35 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Prediction / Predictive | 0% | −28 pts | −43 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Challenge | 100% | +24 pts | +31 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| Productivity | 100% | +23 pts | +24 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Framework | 0% | −72 pts | −65 pts | — · 1¢ | — | ended |
| Trump | 0% | −3 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| AI / Artificial Intelligence 3+ times | 100% | +34 pts | +35 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Independent / Independence | 0% | −65 pts | −63 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Good Morning | 100% | +50 pts | +47 pts | 99¢ · 100¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Bank / Asset 10+ times | 100% | +47 pts | +50 pts | 91¢ · 100¢ (9¢) | — | ended |
| Too Late | 0% | −23 pts | −41 pts | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Payment System | 0% | −55 pts | — | <1¢ · 1¢ (1¢) | — | ended |
| Regime | 100% | +24 pts | +36 pts | 91¢ · 100¢ (9¢) | — | ended |
| -No Qualifying Event- | 0% | −1 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Stable 5+ times | 0% | −21 pts | −19 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Ingenuity | 0% | −67 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| Community | 0% | −56 pts | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 57d | polybettor | Trump | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,012 | +$8 +0.8% | 20 |
| 57d |  DerDon | Task Force 5+ times | BuyNo55¢ → 100¢ | $1,331 | +$1,069 +80% | 28 |
AllByMyseIf2,366 shares
TBill1273 shares
Quarrelsome-Branch256 shares
BobbyFlash218 sharesKevin Warsh is scheduled to deliver a speech at the Jackson Hole Economic Policy Symposium on August 28, 2026, 10 AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Warsh says the listed term during his appearance at this event. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If this event is definitely cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by August 29, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source is the audio/video of the listed event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency means the market gives it about 0%.