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Polymarket wallet 0xa84fb8234c52a96c5d8ef09f22657167936448f9 · on Polymarket since Jul 16, 2025 · also shown as Quixotic-Session
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 3 | 30¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$2 +233% |
| Fed rate hike in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 94¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$0 +6.4% |
| Will Obama endorse Mamdani?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 83¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +20% |
| Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 90¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +11% |
| Xi Jinping out in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1 | 92¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +8.7% |
| Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1 | 98¢ → 100¢ | $1 | +$0 +2.2% |
| Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 21 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 83 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 464d | Will Trump impose large tariffs in his first 6 months? | BuyYes98¢ | $1 |
| 464d | Will Obama endorse Mamdani? | BuyNo83¢ | $1 |
| 464d | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ | $1 |
| 464d | Xi Jinping out in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ | $1 |
| 464d | Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after July 2025 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $1 |
| 464d | Will Eric Adams win the 2025 NYC mayoral election? | BuyNo90¢ | $1 |
| 464d | Will Trump try to fire Powell in 2025? | BuyYes29¢ | $1 |
| 464d | Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by July 31? | BuyYes5¢ | $1 |
| 464d | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ | $1 |
| 464d | Israel x Hamas ceasefire by August 31? | BuyNo30¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.