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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −1 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 316d | 11122 | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $3,995 | +$4 +0.1% | 10 |
| 316d | 4gibg4i3o2 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $41,761 | +$42 +0.1% | 10 |
| 317d |  d1k21 | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,001 | +$2 +0.2% | 10 |
| 317d | QMG-CORE2 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $18,983 | −$19 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | cigarettes | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo>99¢ | $5,114 | −$5 −0.1% | — |
| 317d | KimsCrunchCut | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,428 | +$7 +0.3% | 10 |
| 317d |  XAE12Archangel2 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $13,958 | +$42 +0.3% | 10 |
| 317d |  GollumGekko2 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $19,153 | +$68 +0.4% | 10 |
| 318d | QMG-CORE14 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo91¢ → 100¢ | $32,731 | +$3,423 +10% | 10 |
| 318d | ummon | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyYes3¢ → 0¢ | $1,111 | −$1,111 −100% | 19 |
| 318d |  Coram_Deo3 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo96¢ → 100¢ | $11,761 | −$475 −4.0% | — |
| 320d | check12345 | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,087 | +$8 +0.4% | 10 |
| 321d | 0xB16B00B52 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,445 | +$49 +2.0% | 10 |
| 325d | cigarettes | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $4,297 | +$26 +0.6% | 10 |
| 325d | TheRealWarMonger | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,646 | −$13 −0.8% | — |
| 325d |  Istaroth | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,528 | −$12 −0.8% | — |
| 334d | Istaroth | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,184 | +$12 +1.0% | 10 |
| 336d |  lostmansoul | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $1,996 | −$35 −1.8% | — |
| 338d |  Fattytuna | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,878 | −$21 −1.1% | — |
| 344d | schnupperknupp | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $3,470 | +$28 +0.8% | 10 |
| 346d | TheRealWarMonger | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,637 | +$22 +1.3% | 10 |
| 350d | lostmansoul | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $2,000 | +$31 +1.6% | 10 |
| 352d |  0xdc3E831cad | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,586 | −$80 −3.1% | — |
| 353d | gchuber88 | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $6,336 | −$226 −3.6% | — |
| 358d | jjd21 | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$12 +1.2% | 10 |
| 372d | JeromePowellUK | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo97¢ → 100¢ | $1,179 | −$35 −2.9% | — |
| 375d | kiki215673 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo98¢ → 100¢ | $30,914 | −$627 −2.0% | — |
| 376d | 0xB16B00B5 | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,463 | −$38 −1.5% | — |
| 381d |  Paeniscus.2 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,518 | +$177 +5.0% | 10 |
| 420d | simpleman | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo95¢ → 100¢ | $5,890 | −$310 −5.3% | — |
| 434d |  Paeniscus2 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $3,341 | +$176 +5.3% | 10 |
| 475d | MacroGuy1 | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,590 | −$130 −8.2% | — |
| 490d | Coram_Deo4 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $8,045 | +$1,056 +13% | 10 |
| 494d | MarkLuis | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo94¢ → 100¢ | $4,159 | +$265 +6.4% | 10 |
| 506d | JeromePowellUK | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $1,121 | +$92 +8.2% | 10 |
| 511d | kiki215672 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $27,444 | +$4,098 +15% | 10 |
| 512d | Peet4 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo85¢ → 100¢ | $6,626 | −$1,138 −17% | — |
| 519d | Sorrowful-Miscommunication2 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyYes15¢ → 0¢ | $3,279 | −$3,279 −100% | 18 |
| 540d | Sorrowful-Miscommunication | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellYes16¢ → 0¢ | $2,160 | +$2,160 +100% | — |
| 545d | Agape | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellYes15¢ → 0¢ | $1,015 | +$1,015 +100% | — |
| 545d | joy2theworld | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo83¢ → 100¢ | $9,986 | −$2,014 −20% | — |
| 562d |  McDonalds-Employee | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $1,435 | +$253 +18% | 10 |
| 567d | MAGAMAN42 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $13,239 | −$2,522 −19% | — |
| 572d | MontyWalsh | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo86¢ → 100¢ | $1,075 | +$175 +16% | 10 |
| 576d | MAGAMAN42 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $16,006 | +$3,049 +19% | 10 |
| 580d | joy2theworld | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo84¢ → 100¢ | $10,080 | +$1,920 +19% | 10 |
| 584d | richARD-599 | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo84¢ → 100¢ | $2,633 | −$502 −19% | — |
| 602d | gchuber88 | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo80¢ → 100¢ | $2,593 | +$648 +25% | 10 |
| 634d | ahahahah | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo81¢ → 100¢ | $3,234 | +$759 +23% | 10 |
| 634d |  Wickier | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellYes20¢ → 0¢ | $2,456 | +$2,456 +100% | — |
| 635d |  New.Jeans | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyYes23¢ → 0¢ | $1,031 | −$1,031 −100% | 10 |
| 638d | MrCube | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellYes24¢ → 0¢ | $3,441 | +$3,441 +100% | — |
| 642d | RobXK | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo76¢ → 100¢ | $2,775 | −$876 −32% | — |
| 646d | OkaneKasegu | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo75¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$373 +33% | 10 |
| 648d | Shirakaba | Fed rate hike in 2025? | SellNo73¢ → 100¢ | $1,305 | −$483 −37% | — |
| 648d | Wickier2 fills | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyYes26¢ → 0¢ | $3,474 | −$3,474 −100% | 16 |
| 653d |  ExhaustedBoyBilly | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyYes25¢ → 0¢ | $1,862 | −$1,862 −100% | 13 |
| 662d | New.Jeans | Fed rate hike in 2025? | BuyNo85¢ → 100¢ | $3,424 | +$606 +18% | 10 |
LiterallyGod6,765 shares
Akshit074,738 shares
DCat13 sharesThis market will resolve to “Yes” if the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is increased at any point between January 1, 2025 and the Fed's December 2025 meeting, currently scheduled for December 9-10. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market may not resolve to "No" until the Fed has released its rate changes information following its December meeting. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official website of the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm), however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.