Loading your workspacePreparing the page and its market data.
Polymarket wallet 0xa8b24e5fdaf0ab01c08799a95b4419adbba80483 · on Polymarket since Aug 23, 2024 · also shown as Obedient-Time
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US government shutdown Saturday?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 125 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will the US strike Iran next?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 326 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$140 −100% |
| US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 363 | 19¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$69 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 156 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| Will Ex-Amazon VP reveal who seduced his wife?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 167 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will the US strike Somalia next?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 714 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 505 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$100 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 262d | Nothing Ever Happens: February | BuySomething36¢ | $40 |
| 267d | US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026? | BuyYes43¢ | $140 |
| 268d | US government shutdown Saturday? | BuyNo40¢ | $50 |
| 269d | Will the US strike Somalia next? | BuyNo1¢ | $10 |
| 269d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes1¢ | $10 |
| 289d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes32¢ | $50 |
| 289d | US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes19¢ | $69 |
| 317d | Will Netflix close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? | BuyYes20¢ | $100 |
| 317d | US x Venezuela military engagement by December 15? | BuyNo88¢ | $300 |
| 792d | Will Ex-Amazon VP reveal who seduced his wife? | BuyYes6¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.