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Polymarket wallet 0xa99317a241014628badf274734c62b8a4d0a91f8 · on Polymarket since Apr 19, 2026 · also shown as Untimely-Watchmaker
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Samuel Garcia be out as Governor of Nuevo Leon by December 31, 2026?Ends in 68d | No | 3 | 72¢ → 71¢ | $2 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Claudia Sheinbaum out as President of Mexico by December 31?Ends in 68d | No | 1 | 97¢ → 96¢ | $1 | −$0 −1.4% |
| Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to AdvanceSettled - ready to redeem | Croatia | 3 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Netherlands reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Netherlands reach the Quarterfinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 2 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 2 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 16 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.