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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | 100% | +14 pts | +18 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| France | 100% | +7 pts | +32 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Portugal | 0% | −33 pts | −29 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Spain | 100% | +33 pts | +40 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| England | 100% | +46 pts | +38 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| USA | 0% | −52 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Morocco | 100% | +27 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Mexico | 0% | −46 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Egypt | 0% | −14 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Colombia | 0% | −60 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Norway | 100% | +67 pts | +70 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Belgium | 100% | +52 pts | +68 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Brazil | 0% | −67 pts | −50 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Netherlands | 0% | −49 pts | −46 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Switzerland | 100% | +60 pts | +69 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | — |
| Canada | 0% | −28 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Uruguay | 0% | −6 pts | −18 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Japan | 0% | −15 pts | −26 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Paraguay | 0% | −8 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Croatia | 0% | −8 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Cape Verde | 0% | −3 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Senegal | 0% | −16 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Germany | 0% | −28 pts | −41 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Ecuador | 0% | −13 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Australia | 0% | −6 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Ivory Coast | 0% | −9 pts | −13 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Algeria | 0% | −11 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| South Korea | 0% | −5 pts | −12 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Austria | 0% | −4 pts | −11 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Ghana | 0% | −8 pts | −9 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Bosnia and Herzegovina | 0% | −4 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Czechia | 0% | −3 pts | −5 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| DR Congo | 0% | −3 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Sweden | 0% | −6 pts | −10 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| South Africa | 0% | −5 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Tunisia | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Turkiye | 0% | −10 pts | −21 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Curacao | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Iran | 0% | −12 pts | −4 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Scotland | 0% | −1 pts | −7 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Uzbekistan | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Saudi Arabia | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| New Zealand | 0% | 0 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Qatar | 0% | −1 pts | −3 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Iraq | 0% | 0 pts | −1 pts | — · 1¢ | — | — |
| Panama | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · 1¢ | — | — |
| Haiti | 0% | −1 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| Jordan | 0% | −8 pts | −2 pts | — · <1¢ | — | — |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 108d |  balthazar2 fills | Switzerland | SellYes>99¢ | $2,794 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 108d | 0x6b88…fffb | Switzerland | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,499 | −$15 −1.0% | — |
| 108d | Wonderful-Patio | Switzerland | SellYes80¢ → 100¢ | $1,163 | −$292 −25% | — |
| 108d | blkmont | Switzerland | BuyNo52¢ → 0¢ | $1,649 | −$1,649 −100% | 4 |
| 108d | blkmont | Colombia | BuyYes61¢ → 0¢ | $1,849 | −$1,849 −100% | 4 |
| 108d | ndb12 fills | Switzerland | BuyYes39¢ → 100¢ | $3,507 | +$5,385 +154% | 4 |
| 108d | ndb12 fills | Colombia | BuyNo39¢ → 100¢ | $3,258 | +$5,031 +154% | 4 |
| 108d | jimmyjpeg | Switzerland | BuyYes40¢ → 100¢ | $1,326 | +$2,014 +152% | 4 |
| 108d |  smolbrain0x | Egypt | SellNo>99¢ | $2,566 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 108d | purplegatto | Switzerland | BuyNo62¢ → 0¢ | $1,954 | −$1,954 −100% | 4 |
| 108d |  love-YeJin | Colombia | BuyYes62¢ → 0¢ | $1,300 | −$1,300 −100% | 4 |
| 108d |  saintaphextwin | Argentina | SellYes>99¢ | $44,901 | −$45 −0.1% | — |
| 108d | angeldrive | Argentina | SellYes>99¢ | $3,037 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
| 108d | MenacingTurtle | Egypt | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $3,666 | +$548 +15% | 4 |
| 109d | Melody6262 fills | Switzerland | BuyNo69¢ → 0¢ | $11,503 | −$11,503 −100% | 4 |
| 109d | over. | Argentina | SellYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,742 | −$1,741 −100% | — |
| 109d | MenacingTurtle | Argentina | BuyYes50¢ → 100¢ | $1,567 | +$1,569 +100% | 4 |
| 109d | jimmyjpeg | Argentina | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,519 | +$410 +16% | 4 |
| 109d | angeldrive | Argentina | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $2,625 | +$415 +16% | 4 |
| 109d | WhateverXYZ | Argentina | SellYes85¢ → 100¢ | $1,771 | −$303 −17% | — |
| 109d | Lior-Pa | Egypt | BuyNo87¢ → 100¢ | $12,573 | +$1,881 +15% | 4 |
| 109d |  thefakenick | Switzerland | SellNo60¢ → 0¢ | $1,200 | +$1,200 +100% | — |
| 109d | Cultured-Guilt | Argentina | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,470 | +$239 +16% | 4 |
| 109d | qczxp09862 | Argentina | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,047 | +$170 +16% | 4 |
| 109d | pm-hk | Switzerland | SellNo58¢ → 0¢ | $1,160 | +$1,160 +100% | — |
| 109d | 0xe4f7…78eb | Switzerland | BuyYes41¢ → 100¢ | $4,452 | +$6,482 +146% | 4 |
| 109d |  Yoriichi77 | Argentina | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $5,006 | +$815 +16% | 4 |
| 109d | WoongWoong | USA | SellNo>99¢ | $1,321 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 109d | Healthy-Wrestler | Argentina | BuyYes86¢ → 100¢ | $1,554 | +$253 +16% | 4 |
| 109d |  AnthonyStarker | USA | SellNo>99¢ | $1,886 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 109d | dlbbbdbdbdblw | USA | BuyNo79¢ → 100¢ | $1,314 | +$345 +26% | 4 |
| 109d | MenacingTurtle2 fills | Belgium | BuyNo46¢ → 0¢ | $2,261 | −$2,261 −100% | 4 |
| 109d | oliman2 | Belgium | BuyYes75¢ → 100¢ | $1,120 | +$380 +34% | 4 |
| 109d | cigarettes | USA | BuyNo49¢ → 100¢ | $2,034 | +$2,117 +104% | 4 |
| 109d | 0xe647…2040 | Spain | SellYes>99¢ | $1,702 | −$2 −0.1% | — |
| 109d | superbeter007 | Spain | SellYes>99¢ | $15,638 | −$16 −0.1% | — |
| 109d | bin74848484848 | Belgium | BuyYes46¢ → 100¢ | $2,665 | +$3,079 +116% | 4 |
| 109d |  alpheclabs | Spain | SellYes>99¢ | $1,034 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 109d | givemecash | Spain | SellYes>99¢ | $1,124 | −$1 −0.1% | — |
| 109d | MenacingTurtle | Portugal | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $4,285 | +$88 +2.1% | 4 |
| 109d | uptime0724 | Spain | BuyYes92¢ → 100¢ | $1,086 | +$94 +8.7% | 4 |
| 109d | MenacingTurtle2 fills | Spain | BuyYes91¢ → 100¢ | $6,750 | +$663 +9.8% | 4 |
| 109d | uptime0724 | Portugal | BuyNo69¢ → 100¢ | $2,815 | +$1,273 +45% | 4 |
| 110d | gamblito | Spain | SellYes65¢ → 100¢ | $5,312 | −$2,819 −53% | — |
| 110d | love-YeJin | Portugal | BuyNo66¢ → 100¢ | $1,650 | +$844 +51% | 4 |
| 110d | angelat06 fills | Argentina | BuyYes84¢ → 100¢ | $21,655 | +$4,255 +20% | 4 |
| 110d | Trifling-Antiquity-SelfesteemNew account | Portugal | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $1,218 | −$1,218 −100% | 16 |
| 110d | anaandreea | Portugal | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $3,597 | −$3,597 −100% | 4 |
| 110d | Fragrant-Declination | Portugal | BuyYes35¢ → 0¢ | $3,914 | −$3,914 −100% | 4 |
| 110d | Fragrant-Declination | England | SellYes>99¢ | $4,003 | −$4 −0.1% | — |
| 110d | neutralwave23 | England | SellYes>99¢ | $17,333 | −$17 −0.1% | — |
| 110d | uptime0724 | England | BuyYes94¢ → 100¢ | $3,149 | +$201 +6.4% | 4 |
| 110d | blkmont | England | BuyNo51¢ → 0¢ | $1,348 | −$1,348 −100% | 4 |
| 110d | MenacingTurtle | England | BuyYes55¢ → 100¢ | $2,061 | +$1,690 +82% | 4 |
| 110d | MenacingTurtle | Mexico | BuyYes50¢ → 0¢ | $1,731 | −$1,731 −100% | 4 |
| 110d | uptime0724 | England | BuyNo50¢ → 0¢ | $1,342 | −$1,342 −100% | 4 |
| 110d | ndb13 fills | Mexico | BuyNo51¢ → 100¢ | $12,343 | +$11,766 +95% | 4 |
| 110d | 0x76d6…a60a | England | BuyYes52¢ → 100¢ | $5,929 | +$5,473 +92% | 4 |
| 110d | ndb12 fills | England | BuyYes51¢ → 100¢ | $6,022 | +$5,786 +96% | 4 |
| 110d | Excited-Fingernail | Norway | SellYes>99¢ | $3,068 | −$3 −0.1% | — |
headOf38 shares
SharkbettingCom7,657 sharesThis market will resolve “Yes” if the listed team reaches the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals. If at any point it becomes impossible for the listed club to advance to the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals (e.g. they are mathematically eliminated), the associated market will resolve to "No". If the 2026 FIFA World Cup is cancelled, postponed after July 21, 2026, 11:59 PM ET or the 2026 FIFA World Cup Quarterfinals matchup has not been declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from FIFA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for Argentina means the market gives it about 100%.