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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 727 | 10¢ → 4¢ | $31 | −$42 −57% |
| Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 1,000 | 5¢ → 2¢ | $15 | −$35 −70% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 526 | 19¢ → 2¢ | $10 | −$90 −90% |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 100 | 4¢ → 1¢ | $1 | −$3 −79% |
| First to 5k: Gold or ETH?Settled - ready to redeem | ETH | 3,680 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$95 −100% |
| Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first?Settled - ready to redeem | Bitcoin | 852 | 15¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$130 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 16?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 4,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 6,333 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 16?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 133d | Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $73 |
| 133d | Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes5¢ | $50 |
| 214d | Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes4¢ | $4 |
| 221d | Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on March 16? | BuyYes<1¢ | $4 |
| 221d | Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on March 16? | BuyNo<1¢ | $5 |
| 225d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
| 226d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting? | BuyYes1¢ | $15 |
| 271d | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyETH<1¢ | $5 |
| 272d | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyETH2¢ | $40 |
| 273d | Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first? | BuyBitcoin10¢ | $40 |
| 274d | First to 5k: Gold or ETH? | BuyETH7¢ | $50 |
| 275d | Will Silver hit 100 or Bitcoin hit 100k first? | BuyBitcoin20¢ | $90 |
| 275d | Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? | BuyYes19¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.