| Another NATO Article 4 invocation by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 769 | 70¢ → 73¢ | $558 | +$18 +3.3% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?Ends in 70d | No | 650 | 79¢ → 81¢ | $523 | +$7 +1.4% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 441 | 88¢ → 87¢ | $381 | −$7 −1.7% |
| Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2027?Ends in 251d | Yes | 352 | 14¢ → 21¢ | $74 | +$23 +45% |
| Will the Bank of Russia increase the key rate after the October Meeting?Ends in 15h | Yes | 38 | 3¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$1 −79% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 32 | 94¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$30 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$18 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - August 4, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - August 16, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 18 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - July 22, 4:30PM-4:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 10, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 27 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$26 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 25, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 13, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 27 | 93¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - July 12, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 26 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 3:30AM-3:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - July 22, 6:05PM-6:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 12, 5:30AM-5:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - July 23, 6:00AM-6:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 76¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 20 | 50¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 21, 8:35PM-8:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 15 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 5, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 22, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 8:00AM-12:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 16, 8PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 5, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - July 23, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 8 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| HYPE Up or Down - July 23, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 31 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$25 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - July 25, 11:00PM-11:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 13 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 17, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 17 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$16 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 22, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - July 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 20 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 20, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 17 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 20, 1:00AM-1:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 13, 4:00PM-8:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - August 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 14 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 29, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 23 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 15, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 33 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$32 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 13, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 19 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - August 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 18 | 55¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 14, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 12, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 52¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 21, 4:00AM-8:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| HYPE Up or Down - August 5, 3AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 23, 2:00PM-2:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - July 20, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 7 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 22, 12:25PM-12:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 23, 2:00PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 11 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 31 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$29 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - July 21, 12:45PM-12:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| HYPE Up or Down - July 29, 12PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 16, 5:45AM-5:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 51¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 95¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 17 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - August 15, 2:15PM-2:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 18 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 16 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 17 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - August 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - September 25, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 60¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 83¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - July 23, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 30, 9:30AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 26 | 92¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$24 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 14 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 16, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| BNB Up or Down - August 3, 9AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 18 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - August 15, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 15 | 66¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 11, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 19 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 26, 9:35PM-9:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 7 | 96¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$7 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 17, 2:05AM-2:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 34 | 97¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$33 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 22, 6:40PM-6:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - July 22, 1:45AM-1:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| HYPE Up or Down - August 6, 7PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 98¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - July 23, 3:15PM-3:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 61¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Hyperliquid Up or Down - July 20, 5:15PM-5:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 99¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - September 5, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 12 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - September 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 16 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - August 29, 2:30PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 12 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
