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Polymarket wallet 0xad4d1ee55005db3bc53142f7dfc48eb215ae5561 · on Polymarket since Jan 11, 2024 · also shown as Scrawny-Causal

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Positions now worth: $18.2
All-time profit: −$182
Volume traded: $2.05K
All-time rank: #2,786,477
Markets traded: 72
Recent hit rate: 42%21 of last 50 closed

Open positions

1 markets · $18.2

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will BTC hit $80,000 in March?Settled - ready to redeem	No	18	93¢ → 100¢	$18	+$1 +7.5%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
948d	Will BTC hit $80,000 in March?	BuyNo93¢	$17
948d	Will BTC hit $90,000 in March?	SellNo96¢	$17
952d	Will BTC hit $90,000 in March?	BuyNo90¢	$16
954d	ETH above $4,000 next Friday?	BuyYes48¢	$9
957d	SpaceX Starship launch by March 15?	BuyYes63¢	$10
957d	ETH above $4,000 next Friday?	BuyYes79¢	$10
957d	BTC above $70,000 next friday?	BuyYes81¢	$10
957d	Will Cillian Murphy win the Oscar for Best Actor?	SellYes90¢	$13
969d	Will BTC hit $60,000 in February?	BuyNo67¢	$1
969d	Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?	SellYes6¢	$1
970d	Will BTC hit $60,000 in February?	BuyNo74¢	$21
970d	Bitcoin all time high by Mar 31?	SellNo73¢	$21
970d	Will BTC hit $60,000 in February?	BuyNo74¢	$19
970d	Will BTC hit $55,000 in February?	SellNo24¢	$19
972d	Will "Oppenheimer" win the Oscar for Best Picture?	BuyYes89¢	$2
972d	Will Lily Gladstone win the Oscar for Best Actress?	SellNo27¢	$2
972d	Will BTC hit $55,000 in February?	BuyNo83¢	$45
972d	WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance in February?	SellNo94¢	$29
972d	TikTok/UMG deal before March?	SellNo85¢	$15
972d	TikTok/UMG deal before March?	BuyNo90¢	$16
972d	Fed rate cut by March 20?	SellNo96¢	$11
972d	US bank failure in February?	SellNo97¢	$6
976d	Will Sweden join NATO by February 29?	BuyYes38¢	$9
976d	Any Hamas leader out in January?	SellNo51¢	$3
976d	Will Barbie win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?	SellYes17¢	$4
976d	New Zhu Su/Kyle Davies crypto company before March?	SellNo2¢	$0
976d	Will American Fiction win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?	SellNo45¢	$3
976d	Will BTC hit $55,000 in February?	BuyNo71¢	$28
976d	NYC trucker strike for Trump by Friday?	SellNo95¢	$28
976d	NYC trucker strike for Trump by Friday?	BuyNo95¢	$28
976d	Will Nikki Haley drop out before South Carolina primary?	SellNo99¢	$12
976d	CZ jail before March?	SellNo99¢	$16
977d	Any Hamas leader out in January?	SellNo89¢	$1
977d	Will BTC hit $55,000 in February?	BuyNo50¢	$15
977d	Indonesia Election: Prabowo Subianto wins?	SellYes97¢	$15
980d	WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance in February?	BuyNo87¢	$17
980d	WIF listed on Coinbase or Binance in February?	BuyNo87¢	$10
982d	Will Biden declassify Russia security threat by Friday?	BuyNo79¢	$20
982d	Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s?	SellNo33¢	$4
985d	Indonesia Election: Prabowo Subianto wins?	BuyYes92¢	$14
985d	NY-3 Special Election for Santos seat: Suozzi (D) vs. Pilip (R)	BuySuozzi81¢	$13
985d	Will BTC hit $50,000 in February?	BuyNo31¢	$19
985d	Will Trump tweet again by April 1?	SellNo80¢	$10
985d	Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?	SellNo52¢	$9
986d	Finnish Presidential Election: Will Alexander Stubb win?	BuyYes94¢	$12
986d	Will Ether Rock sell for over $600k at Sotheby’s?	BuyNo81¢	$10
986d	Will Girona win La Liga 2023-24?	SellYes5¢	$2
987d	Will ETH hit $3,000 in February?	BuyNo86¢	$10
987d	Will Solana Network go down again in February?	SellNo88¢	$10
987d	Will Barbie win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?	BuyYes24¢	$5
987d	Will Cillian Murphy win the Oscar for Best Actor?	BuyYes69¢	$10
987d	Will Robert Downey Jr. win the Oscar for Best Supporting Actor?	BuyYes88¢	$10
987d	Will "Oppenheimer" win the Oscar for Best Picture?	BuyYes86¢	$10
987d	Will Bayern win the 2023-24 Champions League?	SellNo82¢	$10
987d	Will Man City win the 2023-24 Champions League?	SellNo68¢	$10
987d	Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ Vol. 1 by Feb 9?	BuyNo52¢	$8
987d	Will Barbie win the Oscar for Best Adapted Screenplay?	SellNo76¢	$5
988d	Will BTC hit $50,000 in February?	BuyNo56¢	$10
988d	Super Bowl: Taylor Swift shown more than 5 times?	BuyYes70¢	$10
988d	Will Kanye release ‘Vultures’ Vol. 1 by Feb 9?	SellYes57¢	$16

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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