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Polymarket wallet 0xadb2d88cb0e05eddeb17241b2dba707ffdf8bd28 · on Polymarket since Oct 16, 2025 · also shown as Gracious-Observatory
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Gold close above $4000 at the end of 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 74¢ → 100¢ | $42 | +$11 +35% |
| House passes Epstein disclosure bill/resolution in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 157 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$11 −100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 45 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will the Government shutdown end November 4-7?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 154 | 20¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$31 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$9 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 9 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.