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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| >$4000 | 100% | 0 pts | 0 pts | >99¢ · 100¢ (<1¢) | — | ended |
| <$3200 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3200-$3300 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3300-$3400 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3400-$3500 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3500-$3600 | 0% | — | — | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3600-$3700 | 0% | — | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3700-$3800 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3800-$3900 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| $3900-$4000 | 0% | 0 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 299d | rookietrader | >$4000 | SellYes94¢ → 100¢ | $5,573 | −$342 −6.1% | — |
| 299d | >$4000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $41,230 | +$439 +1.1% | 4 | |
| 299d | dwFqcd4Z2 fills | >$4000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $8,322 | −$79 −0.9% | — |
| 299d | dwFqcd4Z2 fills | $3300-$3400 | SellNo>99¢ | $18,218 | −$18 −0.1% | — |
| 299d | dwFqcd4Z2 fills | <$3200 | SellNo>99¢ | $5,942 | −$6 −0.1% | — |
| 299d | luzai | >$4000 | SellYes>99¢ | $1,682 | −$8 −0.5% | — |
| 301d | >$4000 | SellYes100¢ | $3,063 | −$15 −0.5% | — | |
| 301d | awei1248 | >$4000 | SellYes>99¢ | $3,030 | −$12 −0.4% | — |
| 304d | luzai | >$4000 | BuyYes>99¢ | $1,663 | +$7 +0.4% | 4 |
| 304d | celiamonica9803 | $3900-$4000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,142 | −$3 −0.3% | — |
| 305d | >$4000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $34,525 | −$282 −0.8% | — | |
| 305d | jodiecheryl4953 | $3900-$4000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,692 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 305d | amy399blythe | $3900-$4000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,645 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 305d | rabia845leonel | $3900-$4000 | SellNo>99¢ | $1,518 | −$5 −0.3% | — |
| 306d | JanAMEX8 fills | >$4000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $20,236 | +$348 +1.7% | 4 |
| 306d | Demanding-Curse | >$4000 | SellYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,795 | −$19 −1.1% | — |
| 307d | GaryCaoQi3 fills | >$4000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $5,734 | −$184 −3.2% | — |
| 310d | tiredShip2 fills | >$4000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $2,453 | +$26 +1.1% | 4 |
| 311d | >$4000 | BuyYes99¢ → 100¢ | $1,364 | +$21 +1.5% | 4 | |
| 311d | BreakTheLine2 fills | >$4000 | SellYes97¢ → 100¢ | $11,220 | −$386 −3.4% | — |
| 312d | rated2 fills | $3900-$4000 | BuyNo97¢ → 100¢ | $2,601 | +$88 +3.4% | 4 |
| 312d | rated | $3600-$3700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 312d | rated | <$3200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 312d | rated2 fills | $3300-$3400 | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,601 | +$9 +0.3% | 4 |
| 312d | rated2 fills | $3500-$3600 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,101 | +$19 +0.9% | 4 |
| 312d | rated | $3200-$3300 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 312d | rated | $3400-$3500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 312d | rated | $3800-$3900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,051 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 312d | $3400-$3500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,273 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 312d | $3500-$3600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,273 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 312d | $3700-$3800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,273 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 312d | $3900-$4000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,266 | +$8 +0.6% | 4 | |
| 312d | $3600-$3700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,273 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 312d | <$3200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,273 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 312d | $3200-$3300 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,273 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 312d | $3300-$3400 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,273 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 | |
| 312d | $3800-$3900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,271 | +$3 +0.2% | 4 | |
| 312d | >$4000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $26,989 | +$455 +1.7% | 4 | |
| 312d | >$4000 | SellYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,165 | −$21 −1.8% | — | |
| 313d | rspa4 fills | >$4000 | SellYes83¢ → 100¢ | $5,264 | −$1,056 −20% | — |
| 313d | Secondary-Coevolution | >$4000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $3,208 | +$52 +1.6% | 4 |
| 313d | cigarettes3 fills | $3600-$3700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,913 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | cigarettes3 fills | $3900-$4000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $6,865 | +$55 +0.8% | 4 |
| 313d | cigarettes3 fills | $3500-$3600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,913 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | cigarettes3 fills | <$3200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,911 | +$9 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | cigarettes3 fills | $3400-$3500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,913 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | cigarettes3 fills | $3300-$3400 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,913 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | cigarettes3 fills | $3800-$3900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,906 | +$14 +0.2% | 4 |
| 313d | cigarettes2 fills | $3700-$3800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,714 | +$6 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | cigarettes3 fills | $3200-$3300 | BuyNo>99¢ | $6,913 | +$7 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | wokerjoesleeper | <$3200 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | wokerjoesleeper | $3300-$3400 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | wokerjoesleeper | $3200-$3300 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | wokerjoesleeper | $3600-$3700 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | wokerjoesleeper | $3800-$3900 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,149 | +$2 +0.2% | 4 |
| 313d | wokerjoesleeper | $3500-$3600 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | wokerjoesleeper | $3700-$3800 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | wokerjoesleeper | $3400-$3500 | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,150 | +$1 +0.1% | 4 |
| 313d | wokerjoesleeper | $3900-$4000 | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $1,142 | +$9 +0.8% | 4 |
| 315d | >$4000 | BuyYes98¢ → 100¢ | $1,162 | +$24 +2.1% | 4 |
This market will resolve based on the price of the COMEX Gold Continuous Contract (GC00) as of the final market close price in 2025. The resolution source will be COMEX trading data for the Gold Continuous Contract (https://www.google.com/finance/quote/GCW00:COMEX).
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 100¢ for >$4000 means the market gives it about 100%.