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Polymarket wallet 0xaea8d0bc322274789000ed037c02c0f6b5d870c1 · on Polymarket since Jan 16, 2026 · also shown as Careful-Semantics
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 39,095 | 33¢ → 33¢ | $12,706 | −$239 −1.8% |
| Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Ends in 4d | Yes | 9,030 | 28¢ → 28¢ | $2,483 | −$71 −2.8% |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Ends in 11d | Yes | 25,694 | 8¢ → 9¢ | $2,184 | +$84 +4.0% |
| Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31?Ends in 69d | Yes | 5,182 | 34¢ → 28¢ | $1,451 | −$300 −17% |
| Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 2,845 | 19¢ → 19¢ | $540 | +$4 +0.7% |
| Will Ilhan Omar be deported by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 6,046 | 2¢ → 3¢ | $166 | +$16 +11% |
| Will Ilhan Omar be deported by June 30, 2027Ends in 250d | Yes | 1,117 | 13¢ → 14¢ | $151 | +$1 +0.5% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.