vamosvamos

Polymarket wallet 0xaef5c375ffdb249edc494b9904672edb9289dc5f · on Polymarket since May 31, 2026 · also shown as Bare-Garb

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $1.57K
All-time profit: +$285
Volume traded: $20.6K
All-time rank: #146,735
Markets traded: 20
Recent hit rate: 88%15 of last 17 closed

Open positions

3 markets · $1.57K

Market	Holding		Paid → now
NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?Ends in 8d	No	825	80¢ → 97¢	$804	+$144 +22%
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?Ends in 7d	Yes	917	86¢ → 84¢	$766	−$23 −2.9%
Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?Settled - ready to redeem	Yes	1,162	77¢ → 0¢	$0	−$900 −100%

Latest trades

last 26

When	Market	Bet	Size
11d	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	BuyYes86¢	$789
26d	Saudi Oil Pipeline (East-West) restarts by September 30?	BuyNo85¢	$670
31d	NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026?	BuyNo80¢	$660
31d	Will the next Claude Opus model be released on September 22, 2026?	BuyYes78¢	$1,049
38d	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	BuyYes88¢	$905
38d	Will Warsh say "Inflation" 20+ times during September Press Conference?	BuyYes77¢	$908
51d	Will GPT-6 be released by September 15, 2026?	BuyYes89¢	$1,004
64d	Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by August 31, 2026?	BuyNo91¢	$933
72d	Will Kai and Speed beat the Minecraft challenge by August 16?	BuyYes79¢	$746
81d	Will GPT-6 be released by August 31, 2026?	BuyNo78¢	$559
81d	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by August 31?	BuyYes75¢	$560
84d	Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	SellYes64¢	$499
85d	Will Wesley Bell be the Democratic nominee for MO-01?	BuyYes63¢	$507
112d	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	BuyYes91¢	$1,031
115d	Will Donald Trump publicly insult Jimmy Kimmel by June 30, 2026?	BuyNo81¢	$463
117d	Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?	BuyYes89¢	$415
117d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?	SellNo90¢	$415
118d	Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 29?	BuyNo82¢	$765
118d	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	SellNo99¢	$765
128d	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	BuyNo45¢	$61
136d	Will the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1540?	BuyNo81¢	$50
136d	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	SellNo5¢	$45
141d	Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?	BuyNo78¢	$716
141d	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	SellYes96¢	$721
145d	GPT-5.6 released by July 31, 2026?	BuyYes88¢	$664
145d	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	BuyNo78¢	$500

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 17 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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