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Polymarket wallet 0xb034af9e61a7e3e31a54a32888a79ec2ed562094 · on Polymarket since Dec 25, 2023 · also shown as Hasty-Nightmare
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 20,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will an AI win the $5 million AI Math Olympiad Prize before August?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 16 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will 'Black Myth: Wukong' win Game of the Year?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,000 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2,000 −100% |
| Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3,000 | 5¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$141 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | 7¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$700 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 8,000 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$204 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 6 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.