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Polymarket wallet 0xb15a0f9c016d816ad87575dc75bfb96a58f2fb75 · on Polymarket since Feb 16, 2026 · also shown as Royal-Assistance-Perpendicular
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 12 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 897 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$6 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 212d | Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament? | BuyYes22¢ | $1 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET | BuyUp69¢ | $2 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET | BuyUp77¢ | $1 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET | BuyUp19¢ | $5 |
| 231d | Bitcoin Up or Down - March 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET | BuyDown87¢ | $2 |
| 247d | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $3 |
| 247d | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BuyYes1¢ | $2 |
| 249d | ChatGPT Full Outage by February 28? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 249d | Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026? | BuyYes8¢ | $1 |
| 249d | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 249d | Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 3 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.