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Polymarket wallet 0xb16f21deb8ea316b938b4adcb0e6fd500d64110f · on Polymarket since Mar 25, 2026 · also shown as Thoughtful-Mascara
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 64¢ → 100¢ | $3 | +$1 +57% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 61¢ → 100¢ | $2 | +$1 +64% |
| Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 5,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 93 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 175d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET | BuyDown59¢ | $1 |
| 175d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $1 |
| 193d | Bitcoin Up or Down - April 8, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET | BuyUp62¢ | $2 |
| 207d | Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31? | BuyNo<1¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.