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Polymarket wallet 0xb2e774460c6fed17c88889ae3bd42446d1548caf · on Polymarket since Jan 30, 2026 · also shown as Conventional-Bail
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 23¢ → 100¢ | $4 | +$3 +331% |
| Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 714 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 33 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Nothing Ever Happens: JanuarySettled - ready to redeem | Yes | 31 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 28 | 18¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 25 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 258d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 6, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET | BuyDown23¢ | $1 |
| 259d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | SellUp83¢ | $1 |
| 259d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET | BuyUp67¢ | $1 |
| 260d | Bitcoin Up or Down - February 5, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET | BuyDown4¢ | $1 |
| 263d | Will Sentimental Value win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards? | BuyYes1¢ | $5 |
| 265d | Will Golden (Ejae and Mark Sonnenblick) win Song of the Year at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BuyNo32¢ | $5 |
| 265d | Nothing Ever Happens: January | BuyYes16¢ | $5 |
| 265d | Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes6¢ | $2 |
| 265d | Will Leon Thomas win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards? | BuyYes18¢ | $5 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.