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Polymarket wallet 0xb38aa7d5447fc4c1a587e677ceecdcbaed92123b · on Polymarket since Dec 4, 2025 · also shown as Gentle-Carload
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 144 | 14¢ → 2¢ | $2 | −$18 −89% |
| Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 183 | 27¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 67 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$45 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 102d | Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyNo61¢ | $31 |
| 105d | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | SellYes10¢ | $21 |
| 198d | Viktor Orbán out by December 31, 2026? | BuyNo27¢ | $50 |
| 203d | EU/NATO country announces peacekeeping force in Ukraine by December 31? | BuyYes13¢ | $26 |
| 212d | US x Iran ceasefire by April 15? | BuyNo67¢ | $45 |
| 290d | Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? | BuyNo95¢ | $20 |
| 290d | Bitcoin more valuable than any company before 2027? | BuyYes14¢ | $20 |
| 290d | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in January? | BuyYes79¢ | $65 |
| 322d | Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by December 31, 2025? | BuyNo89¢ | $10 |
| 322d | Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by December 31? | BuyNo96¢ | $90 |
| 322d | Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31? | BuyNo68¢ | $100 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.