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Polymarket wallet 0xb3fa86bc0faec9df0fdebcbee059c65db7ca1b7d · on Polymarket since Jan 6, 2026 · also shown as Upset-Hammock
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election?Ends in 177d | Yes | 113 | 9¢ → 46¢ | $52 | +$42 +422% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 6?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 6?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 40 | 10¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 276d | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | SellYes43¢ | $67 |
| 276d | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | SellYes23¢ | $21 |
| 290d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting? | BuyYes10¢ | $4 |
| 290d | Bitcoin Up or Down - January 6, 2PM ET | BuyDown39¢ | $4 |
| 290d | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 6? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 290d | Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 6? | BuyNo<1¢ | $1 |
| 290d | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BuyYes33¢ | $20 |
| 290d | Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | BuyYes9¢ | $10 |
| 290d | Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? | BuyYes33¢ | $10 |
| 290d | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BuyYes56¢ | $22 |
| 290d | Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? | BuyYes54¢ | $62 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.