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Polymarket wallet 0xb4011dbcbdad4761e61a99041fe278bb82bf3d11 · on Polymarket since Dec 2, 2025
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | No | 60 | 89¢ → 94¢ | $56 | +$3 +5.3% |
| GTA 6 launch postponed again?Ends in 27d | No | 30 | 90¢ → 97¢ | $29 | +$2 +7.0% |
| Trump out as President before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 10 | 94¢ → 96¢ | $10 | +$0 +1.9% |
| Will CDU/CSU–SPD German federal coalition break before 2027?Ends in 68d | No | 10 | 85¢ → 90¢ | $9 | +$0 +5.3% |
| Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 7AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 10 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 4AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 30 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
| GPT-5.6 released by July 9, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 52 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - December 6, 3AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 370 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$34 −100% |
| Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major PlayoffsSettled - ready to redeem | Vitality | 29 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$14 −100% |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 31 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.