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Polymarket wallet 0xb4e76cf0a0385c9918313e3b7161466c91e775b9 · on Polymarket since Sep 19, 2026 · also shown as Untried-Cruelty-Roundabout
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election?Ends in 37d | Yes | 220 | 91¢ → 88¢ | $193 | −$7 −3.3% |
| Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?Ends in 2d | Yes | 169 | 89¢ → 88¢ | $147 | −$3 −1.7% |
| Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31?Ends in 8d | No | 43 | 86¢ → 89¢ | $39 | +$2 +4.2% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 69d | No | 5 | 85¢ → 82¢ | $4 | −$0 −4.1% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5h | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? | BuyNo90¢ | $17 |
| 11h | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? | BuyNo80¢ | $10 |
| 12h | Will Vox win the third-most seats in the 2026 Spanish general election? | BuyYes91¢ | $200 |
| 12h | Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by October 31? | BuyNo85¢ | $10 |
| 12h | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | SellNo96¢ | $154 |
| 2d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo90¢ | $100 |
| 3d | Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-10-20? | BuyYes>99¢ | $100 |
| 3d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo87¢ | $30 |
| 4d | Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election? | BuyYes89¢ | $151 |
| 20d | NATO x Russia military clash by October 31, 2026? | BuyNo90¢ | $13 |
| 20d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyNo85¢ | $4 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.