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Polymarket wallet 0xb5b7f65a4e50c5c1116b87701c0a076923400686 · on Polymarket since Oct 1, 2024 · also shown as Vengeful-Flare
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 7 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 42 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Israel military response against Iran in October?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 20 | 25¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 114 | 2¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 24 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Israel military response against Iran today?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 17 | 30¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 246d | Will Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027? | BuyYes2¢ | $2 |
| 246d | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo78¢ | $5 |
| 246d | Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo74¢ | $5 |
| 246d | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyNo77¢ | $3 |
| 724d | Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes34¢ | $8 |
| 736d | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyYes2¢ | $1 |
| 740d | Israel military response against Iran in October? | BuyNo25¢ | $5 |
| 752d | Israel military response against Iran today? | BuyYes23¢ | $2 |
| 752d | Israel military response against Iran today? | BuyYes38¢ | $3 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.