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| Outcome | Chance | 24h | 1 week | Bid · Ask | 24h volume | Ends |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 0% | −84 pts | 0 pts | — · <1¢ | — | ended |
| When | Trader | Outcome | Bet | Size | P&L now | Insider |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 735d | cqs | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $21,761 | +$22 +0.1% | 4 |
| 735d |  LlamaEnjoyer | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $5,463 | +$5 +0.1% | 4 |
| 735d | longtern | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,916 | +$4 +0.2% | 4 |
| 735d |  Anon1792681 | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $1,609 | +$5 +0.3% | 4 |
| 735d | rpo | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $2,408 | +$7 +0.3% | 4 |
| 735d |  overthinkingchamp | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyNo>99¢ | $10,227 | +$31 +0.3% | 4 |
| 736d | BlitzschnellCapitalAdvisorsLLP | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | SellNo100¢ | $1,208 | −$6 −0.5% | — |
| 736d | kingfisher | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | SellNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,220 | −$13 −0.6% | — |
| 736d |  ImJustKen | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | SellNo100¢ | $3,292 | −$17 −0.5% | — |
| 736d |  Car2 fills | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,330 | +$19 +0.8% | 4 |
| 736d | Joe111-159 | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyNo99¢ → 100¢ | $2,736 | +$19 +0.7% | 4 |
| 736d | ImJustKen4 fills | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyNo98¢ → 100¢ | $41,543 | +$876 +2.1% | 4 |
| 736d |  Brokie | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyNo95¢ → 100¢ | $1,853 | +$98 +5.3% | 4 |
| 736d | btcbb | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyNo92¢ → 100¢ | $2,081 | +$169 +8.1% | 4 |
| 736d | Oporto | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyNo88¢ → 100¢ | $3,419 | +$459 +13% | 4 |
| 739d | Far-Off-Erosion | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyYes84¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | −$1,050 −100% | 4 |
| 739d |  FTX2.0 | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | SellYes83¢ → 0¢ | $1,946 | +$1,946 +100% | — |
| 743d | stamjer2 fills | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyNo50¢ → 100¢ | $6,325 | +$6,380 +101% | 4 |
| 743d |  Yoriichi77 | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $2,841 | −$2,841 −100% | 4 |
| 746d | ImJustKen | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyYes77¢ → 0¢ | $3,182 | −$3,182 −100% | 4 |
| 754d | sirenian | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyYes73¢ → 0¢ | $3,300 | −$3,300 −100% | 4 |
| 756d | Car | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | SellYes70¢ → 0¢ | $1,050 | +$1,050 +100% | — |
| 760d | TsiStA | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyNo21¢ → 100¢ | $1,000 | +$3,704 +370% | 4 |
| 760d | Car | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyYes80¢ → 0¢ | $1,257 | −$1,257 −100% | 4 |
| 760d |  grugzilla | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyYes79¢ → 0¢ | $1,610 | −$1,610 −100% | 4 |
| 761d |  Axios | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyYes75¢ → 0¢ | $1,350 | −$1,350 −100% | 4 |
| 771d | denizz | Yahya Sinwar still Hamas leader by October 31? | BuyYes85¢ → 0¢ | $1,020 | −$1,020 −100% | 4 |
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Yahya Sinwar remains leader of Hamas in the Gaza Strip uninterrupted from August 25 through October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Sources: Polymarket's Gamma API, its CLOB price history and its Data API, read every two minutes. Prices are each outcome's Yes price, which is the market's probability: 0¢ for Yes means the market gives it about 0%.