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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,266 | 4¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$49 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,059 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$90 −100% |
| Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 1,440 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$40 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 256d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo2¢ | $2 |
| 257d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo5¢ | $10 |
| 257d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo5¢ | $5 |
| 257d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo5¢ | $5 |
| 257d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo5¢ | $5 |
| 257d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo5¢ | $5 |
| 257d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo3¢ | $15 |
| 257d | Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 3-9? | BuyNo3¢ | $40 |
| 261d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo3¢ | $1 |
| 261d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 261d | Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026? | BuyNo8¢ | $40 |
| 261d | Russia x Ukraine prisoner exchange by February 14, 2026? | BuyNo8¢ | $50 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.