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Polymarket wallet 0xb8d14d0488bee8a3f1403d118ba876f2e6ee40c3 · on Polymarket since Oct 16, 2025 · also shown as Irresponsible-Pupa
classy in the streets, stat arb in the sheets
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 71d | No | 2,000 | 73¢ → 84¢ | $1,670 | +$220 +15% |
| Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026?Ends in 71d | Yes | 148 | 21¢ → 37¢ | $54 | +$23 +74% |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81Ends in 71d | Yes | 1,000 | 46¢ → 3¢ | $29 | −$431 −94% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 7d | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | BuyYes21¢ | $2 |
| 11d | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | BuyYes21¢ | $21 |
| 13d | Christine Lagarde out as ECB president in 2026? | BuyYes21¢ | $2 |
| 52d | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-30? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? | Buy71¢ | $2 |
| 52d | Will Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-08-30? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? | Buy57¢ | $15 |
| 52d | US Open WTA: Emma Navarro vs Lois Boisson AND US Open ATP: Alexander Bublik vs J.J. Wolf AND Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-08-31? | Buy56¢ | $4 |
| 52d | LoL: LYON vs Team Liquid (BO3) - LCS Regular Season AND LoL: Cloud9 vs Shopify Rebellion (BO3) - LCS Regular Season | Buy58¢ | $21 |
| 52d | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-30? AND Will Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw? | Buy92¢ | $33 |
| 52d | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-30? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? | Buy71¢ | $82 |
| 52d | AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5 AND Cagliari Calcio vs. FC Internazionale Milano: O/U 2.5 | Buy66¢ | $19 |
| 52d | AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 2.5 AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? | Buy59¢ | $21 |
| 52d | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-30? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? | Buy72¢ | $2 |
| 52d | Philadelphia Phillies vs. Los Angeles Angels AND Texas Rangers vs. Milwaukee Brewers AND Pittsburgh Pirates vs. St. Louis Cardinals AND Houston Astros vs. New York Mets | Buy94¢ | $57 |
| 52d | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-30? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? | Buy72¢ | $17 |
| 52d | Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5) AND Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-30? | Buy82¢ | $9 |
| 52d | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers AND Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B AND Valorant: Leviatán Esports vs G2 Esports (BO3) - VCT Americas Stage 2 Playoffs | Buy72¢ | $24 |
| 52d | Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-08-30? AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? | Buy70¢ | $14 |
| 52d | Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5) AND Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5) | Buy79¢ | $31 |
| 52d | Manchester United FC vs. Ipswich Town FC: O/U 3.5 AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? | Buy69¢ | $3 |
| 52d | Will AS Monaco FC vs. Olympique de Marseille end in a draw? AND Will FC Augsburg vs. FC Schalke 04 end in a draw? | Buy92¢ | $70 |
| 52d | Will Viking FK win on 2026-08-29? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? | Buy48¢ | $18 |
| 52d | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-30? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? | Buy74¢ | $8 |
| 52d | Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Legacy (+1.5) AND Map Handicap: FUT (-1.5) vs Inner Circle Esports (+1.5) | Buy79¢ | $101 |
| 52d | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? | Buy47¢ | $6 |
| 52d | US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta AND US Open ATP: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Adrian Mannarino | Buy44¢ | $11 |
| 52d | Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-30? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? | Buy74¢ | $8 |
| 52d | US Open ATP: Dino Prizmic vs Alexander Shevchenko AND US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marton Fucsovics | Buy42¢ | $36 |
| 52d | Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5 AND Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-30? | Buy74¢ | $82 |
| 52d | US Open ATP: Jiri Lehecka vs Pablo Carreno Busta AND US Open ATP: Daniel Merida Aguilar vs Marton Fucsovics | Buy36¢ | $2 |
| 52d | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? AND Will FK Bodø/Glimt win on 2026-08-30? | Buy53¢ | $1 |
| 52d | Will Brentford FC win on 2026-08-30? AND Will RC Celta de Vigo win on 2026-08-30? AND Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-30? | Buy90¢ | $14 |
| 52d | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) AND Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-30? AND Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-30? | Buy55¢ | $22 |
| 52d | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) AND Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-30? AND Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-30? | Buy56¢ | $31 |
| 52d | LoL: Fnatic vs GIANTX (BO3) - LEC Regular Season AND LoL: Movistar KOI vs Team Heretics (BO3) - LEC Regular Season | Buy54¢ | $23 |
| 52d | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-30? AND Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-30? | Buy77¢ | $24 |
| 52d | Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5) AND Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-30? AND Will AFC Ajax win on 2026-08-30? | Buy55¢ | $23 |
| 52d | Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-30? AND Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-08-30? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? | Buy86¢ | $57 |
| 52d | Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Legacy (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B AND Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? AND Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30? | Buy59¢ | $15 |
| 52d | Will SS Lazio win on 2026-08-30? AND Will Feyenoord Rotterdam win on 2026-08-30? AND Will PSV win on 2026-08-30? | Buy76¢ | $3 |
| 52d | Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-30? AND Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-08-30? | Buy38¢ | $1 |
| 52d | FC Augsburg vs. FC Schalke 04: O/U 2.5 AND Will SC Freiburg win on 2026-08-30? | Buy71¢ | $7 |
| 53d | LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs AND LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Buy46¢ | $33 |
| 53d | Game Handicap: DK (-1.5) vs KT Rolster (+1.5) AND LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Buy58¢ | $15 |
| 53d | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-29? AND Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-29? AND Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-29? | Buy58¢ | $37 |
| 53d | LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs AND LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Buy47¢ | $15 |
| 53d | Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-08-29? AND Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-29? | Buy46¢ | $3 |
| 53d | Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-08-29? AND Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29? | Buy74¢ | $27 |
| 53d | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-29? AND Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-29? | Buy40¢ | $16 |
| 53d | Counter-Strike: K27 vs ex-RUBY (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stage AND Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Open Porto Group B | Buy75¢ | $83 |
| 53d | Will AZ win on 2026-08-29? AND Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-29? AND Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-29? | Buy55¢ | $77 |
| 53d | Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-08-31? AND Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-30? | Buy55¢ | $7 |
| 53d | Will Galatasaray SK win on 2026-08-29? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-08-29? | Buy44¢ | $4 |
| 53d | Sevilla FC vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5 AND Games Total: O/U 2.5 | Buy77¢ | $79 |
| 53d | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-29? AND Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-08-29? | Buy61¢ | $31 |
| 53d | LoL: Dplus KIA vs KT Rolster (BO5) - LCK Playoffs AND LoL: JD Gaming vs Team WE (BO5) - LPL Playoffs | Buy46¢ | $29 |
| 53d | Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Detroit Tigers AND Chicago White Sox vs. Minnesota Twins | Buy70¢ | $2 |
| 53d | Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-29? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-08-29? | Buy46¢ | $9 |
| 53d | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-29? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-08-29? | Buy44¢ | $16 |
| 53d | Will FC Porto win on 2026-08-29? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-08-29? | Buy46¢ | $26 |
| 53d | Will Juventus FC win on 2026-08-29? AND Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw? AND Will BV Borussia 09 Dortmund win on 2026-08-29? | Buy86¢ | $11 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.