muons

Polymarket wallet 0xbb5e6475107b5b5399b1ae2f0a79513879375b83 · on Polymarket since Aug 14, 2026 · also shown as Peppery-Birdbath-Pressure

Open on Polymarket ↗

Positions now worth: $322
All-time profit: −$225
Volume traded: $40.9K
All-time rank: #2,832,695
Markets traded: 876
Recent hit rate: 76%38 of last 50 closed

Open positions

100 markets · $322

Market	Holding		Paid → now
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	966	28¢ → 21¢	$198	−$69 −26%
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d	Yes	1,463	19¢ → 9¢	$124	−$154 −55%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 1:50AM-1:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 11:25PM-11:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 7:45AM-7:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:50AM-2:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:25AM-9:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 1:20AM-1:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	18	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 5:05AM-5:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 5:35PM-5:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 9:25PM-9:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 4:50PM-4:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:55PM-3:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:30AM-11:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:30AM-12:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:25PM-10:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 11:00AM-11:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:25AM-5:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 15, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 2:15AM-2:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 11:05PM-11:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 3:05AM-3:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 9:55AM-10:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:35PM-10:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:30AM-2:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 9:00AM-9:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 2:35PM-2:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 1:25AM-1:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 5:35AM-5:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 2:25AM-2:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 10:20PM-10:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:00PM-1:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:50PM-11:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 8:15AM-8:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:35AM-2:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 11:35AM-11:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 12:00AM-12:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 6:30AM-6:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 7:45PM-7:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 6:55PM-7:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:05PM-10:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 6:35PM-6:40PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 7:10PM-7:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 9:30AM-9:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 4:40AM-4:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 7:00PM-7:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 9:15AM-9:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	1¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 22, 10:30PM-10:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 6:30PM-6:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 4:30AM-4:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 14, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	25	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 4:45AM-4:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	50	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 12:20PM-12:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 10:10PM-10:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 19, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 2:15PM-2:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 17, 4:00AM-4:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	6	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$0 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 15, 7:00AM-7:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	50	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$3 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 12:15PM-12:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 16, 7:40AM-7:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 17, 11:20PM-11:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 18, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	33	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Ethereum Up or Down - August 16, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	17	6¢ → 0¢	$0	−$1 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 1:20PM-1:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Up	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 21, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem	Down	40	5¢ → 0¢	$0	−$2 −100%

Latest trades

last 60

When	Market	Bet	Size
5d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes21¢	$1
5d	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	BuyUp93¢	$1
6d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes20¢	$90
6d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes20¢	$3
8d	Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes5¢	$13
8d	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes3¢	$12
8d	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes5¢	$21
20d	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes19¢	$4
20d	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes19¢	$289
22d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes33¢	$201
22d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes34¢	$12
22d	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes18¢	$12
25d	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes8¢	$17
25d	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	BuyDown68¢	$1
25d	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes18¢	$18
25d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes35¢	$10
26d	Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$5
27d	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	SellUp77¢	$2
27d	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	BuyUp57¢	$1
27d	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	BuyUp82¢	$1
27d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes37¢	$313
27d	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes12¢	$1
27d	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes10¢	$9
27d	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes8¢	$8
27d	Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$37
27d	Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes14¢	$2
27d	Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes13¢	$2
27d	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes19¢	$10
27d	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes18¢	$38
27d	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes17¢	$14
27d	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes18¢	$106
27d	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes15¢	$1
27d	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes14¢	$9
27d	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes14¢	$14
27d	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes14¢	$3
27d	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes14¢	$14
27d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes36¢	$54
27d	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes19¢	$60
27d	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes4¢	$61
28d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes39¢	$31
28d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes36¢	$51
28d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes38¢	$77
29d	Will Aster reach $2.20 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes3¢	$1
29d	Will Aster reach $1.60 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes6¢	$24
29d	Will Aster reach $2.00 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes4¢	$33
30d	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes22¢	$54
30d	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes24¢	$25
30d	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes22¢	$44
30d	Will Aster reach $1.80 by December 31, 2026?	SellYes7¢	$11
31d	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes22¢	$50
33d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes26¢	$91
33d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes26¢	$3
33d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes26¢	$0
44d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes26¢	$16
44d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes25¢	$13
44d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes25¢	$1
44d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes25¢	$4
44d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes25¢	$3
52d	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes24¢	$20
57d	Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026?	BuyYes5¢	$20

Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.

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