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Polymarket wallet 0xbc80b31122eb98dd07dcfa157b153c4d699aefcb · on Polymarket since Jan 8, 2026 · also shown as Jittery-Exercise
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 893 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$415 −100% |
| Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 9-15?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 338 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 109 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 574 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$265 −100% |
| Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 19?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 200 | 6¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$12 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 148d | World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? | SellYes3¢ | $25 |
| 242d | World Cup game relocated away from Mexico? | BuyYes12¢ | $100 |
| 248d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo37¢ | $75 |
| 253d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14? | BuyNo59¢ | $50 |
| 253d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14? | BuyNo58¢ | $65 |
| 254d | Will Bitcoin dip to $58,000 February 9-15? | BuyYes6¢ | $20 |
| 254d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14? | BuyNo37¢ | $50 |
| 256d | U.S. strike on Somalia by February 14? | BuyNo41¢ | $100 |
| 273d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo43¢ | $25 |
| 273d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo44¢ | $75 |
| 276d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo49¢ | $40 |
| 280d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo49¢ | $50 |
| 280d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 19? | BuyYes6¢ | $12 |
| 281d | Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting? | BuyYes46¢ | $50 |
| 281d | US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026? | BuyNo54¢ | $150 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.