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Polymarket wallet 0xbdd8a7d5b9be0b019d04feef21f519a2e9e9940a · on Polymarket since Jun 23, 2025 · also shown as Careless-Isogloss
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 30 | 33¢ → 100¢ | $30 | +$20 +203% |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?Ends in 68d | Yes | 156 | 35¢ → 19¢ | $29 | −$26 −48% |
| Israel x Iran ceasefire before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 200 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 40 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Iran strike on Qatar today?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 46 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 188d | Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | BuyYes35¢ | $55 |
| 455d | Will Trump release more Epstein files by August 31? | BuyYes33¢ | $10 |
| 483d | Israel x Iran ceasefire before July? | BuyNo1¢ | $1 |
| 483d | Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | BuyNo3¢ | $1 |
| 484d | Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | SellNo19¢ | $3 |
| 488d | Iran strike on Qatar today? | BuyNo48¢ | $5 |
| 488d | Iran strike on Qatar today? | SellYes60¢ | $3 |
| 488d | Iran strike on Qatar today? | BuyNo14¢ | $5 |
| 488d | Iran strike on Qatar today? | BuyYes87¢ | $5 |
| 488d | Fordow nuclear facility destroyed before July? | BuyNo71¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 1 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.