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Polymarket wallet 0xbde009c3929705c2b8970d67cd9e12e44e88cc69 · on Polymarket since Dec 12, 2025 · also shown as Dense-Ottoman
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?Ends in 3d | Yes | 46 | 33¢ → 15¢ | $7 | −$8 −54% |
| Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,000 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 15 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5,000 | 1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$50 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 91d | Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 17 to July 24, 2026? | BuyYes<1¢ | $1 |
| 95d | Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or? | BuyYes33¢ | $16 |
| 99d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $27 |
| 99d | Bitcoin Up or Down - July 16, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET | BuyDown1¢ | $27 |
| 99d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | SellYes42¢ | $15 |
| 99d | Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes65¢ | $10 |
| 99d | Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes42¢ | $15 |
| 99d | Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup? | BuyYes58¢ | $31 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.