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Polymarket wallet 0xbe5ed5a6cf83e35dee9b39793514c439a7d80e82 · on Polymarket since Jan 14, 2026
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 11 | 80¢ → 100¢ | $11 | +$2 +25% |
| Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 100 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$8 −100% |
| Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 63 | 32¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 273d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | SellYes3¢ | $7 |
| 279d | US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026? | BuyYes10¢ | $21 |
| 279d | Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31? | BuyYes8¢ | $8 |
| 279d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | SellIsrael37¢ | $29 |
| 282d | U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes80¢ | $8 |
| 282d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | BuyIsrael14¢ | $11 |
| 282d | Israel strikes Iran by January 16, 2026? | BuyYes32¢ | $20 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 2 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.