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Polymarket wallet 0xbe65a50abe7ff7d5d3982ebf742f912b0ad7131b · on Polymarket since Aug 13, 2024 · also shown as Harmless-Mortise
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trump x Musk space censored in EU?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Trump + Elon conversation over 2 hours long?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$0 −100% |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 10,290 | <1¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$10 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 778d | Tim Pool subpoenaed in September? | BuyNo94¢ | $0 |
| 802d | Will Trump post 16-20 times this week? | BuyNo94¢ | $0 |
| 802d | Will Ukraine hold Kursk through Aug 31? | BuyYes81¢ | $0 |
| 802d | Will Ukraine take the Kursk Nuclear Plant by Aug 31? | BuyNo92¢ | $0 |
| 802d | Megaquake in August? | BuyYes10¢ | $0 |
| 802d | Will Jannik Sinner win the 2024 ATP Cincinnati Men’s Singles tournament? | BuyNo80¢ | $0 |
| 802d | Trump x Musk space censored in EU? | BuyYes<1¢ | $0 |
| 802d | Swan Bitcoin insolvent by August 31? | BuyYes10¢ | $0 |
| 802d | Will Katrina Shankland win the WI-3 Democratic House Primary? | BuyNo41¢ | $0 |
| 802d | Will Tony Wied win the WI-8 Republican House Primary? | BuyYes96¢ | $0 |
| 802d | Will Patrick Mahomes be the top Fantasy Quarterback? | BuyYes34¢ | $0 |
| 802d | Trump + Elon conversation over 2 hours long? | BuyNo<1¢ | $0 |
| 802d | Will Elon blame a foreign actor for Twitter crash? | BuyYes12¢ | $0 |
| 802d | Will Gavin Newsom win the 2024 US Presidential Election? | BuyYes<1¢ | $10 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 11 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.