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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch?Settled - ready to redeem | No | 10 | 41¢ → 100¢ | $10 | +$6 +144% |
| Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 3 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 309d | Octra FDV above $100M one day after launch? | BuyNo41¢ | $4 |
| 309d | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | SellYes95¢ | $3 |
| 319d | Stable FDV above $2B one day after launch? | BuyYes75¢ | $4 |
| 319d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on December 8? | BuyNo<1¢ | $3 |
| 319d | Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 31? | BuyNo6¢ | $2 |
| 319d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyNo6¢ | $2 |
| 320d | Will Stable launch a token in 2025? | BuyNo<1¢ | $2 |
| 320d | Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 by December 31, 2025? | BuyYes71¢ | $2 |
| 320d | Will Google have the top AI model on December 31? | BuyYes76¢ | $2 |
| 320d | Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting? | BuyYes94¢ | $2 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 7 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.