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Polymarket wallet 0xbf8d2cd1f7a6d89d7a831470ebada90ef2d3b2a9 · on Polymarket since Jun 7, 2023 · also shown as Barren-Dollar
| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 667 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 9,143 | 3¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$248 −100% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?Settled - ready to redeem | Yes | 1,186 | 8¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$93 −100% |
| Will $ARB hit $1 or $2 first?Settled - ready to redeem | $2 first | 94 | 16¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$15 −100% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 237d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $15 |
| 247d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes7¢ | $28 |
| 270d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026? | BuyYes14¢ | $50 |
| 285d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026? | BuyYes3¢ | $20 |
| 294d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes2¢ | $50 |
| 301d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes1¢ | $50 |
| 318d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes5¢ | $50 |
| 321d | Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025? | BuyYes11¢ | $99 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 50 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.