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| Market | Holding | Paid → now | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will US or Israel strike Iran first?Settled - ready to redeem | US | 208 | 62¢ → 50¢ | $104 | −$24 −19% |
| When | Market | Bet | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| 246d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | BuyUS61¢ | $77 |
| 246d | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | SellYes23¢ | $39 |
| 246d | Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026? | BuyYes23¢ | $39 |
| 246d | Will US or Israel strike Iran first? | BuyUS62¢ | $51 |
| 265d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1? | SellYes64¢ | $29 |
| 265d | Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1? | BuyYes55¢ | $25 |
| 265d | Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $80,000 on February 1? | BuyYes79¢ | $47 |
| 273d | Will the US strike Iran next? | BuyYes1¢ | $63 |
Sources: Polymarket's Data API (positions, closed positions, activity, portfolio value and the all-time leaderboard) and its public profiles, read every five minutes. Recent hit rate is the share of the wallet's last 4 closed positions that made money. All-time profit and rank are Polymarket's own.