| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2027?Ends in 220d | No | 20 | 49¢ → 49¢ | $10 | $0 0.0% |
| US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?Ends in 1d | No | 33 | 12¢ → 12¢ | $4 | $0 0.0% |
| US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms?Ends in 11d | No | 15 | 27¢ → 27¢ | $4 | −$0 −1.9% |
| US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026?Ends in 69d | Yes | 9 | 35¢ → 35¢ | $3 | −$0 −0.6% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | Yes | 12 | 17¢ → 19¢ | $2 | +$0 +12% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 45d | No | 7 | 29¢ → 32¢ | $2 | +$0 +8.6% |
| Will the Central Bank of Colombia make no change to the monetary policy interest rate at the October meeting?Ends in 6d | Yes | 3 | 55¢ → 69¢ | $2 | +$0 +25% |
| Will the Bank of Russia announce a 25 bps decrease at the December 2026 meeting?Ends in 55d | No | 3 | 75¢ → 76¢ | $2 | +$0 +0.7% |
| No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after December 2026 meeting?Ends in 54d | No | 5 | 42¢ → 41¢ | $2 | −$0 −2.4% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the October interest rate announcement?Ends in 4d | No | 9 | 20¢ → 21¢ | $2 | +$0 +3.5% |
| Will the Bank of Canada increase the target for the overnight rate by 25 bps at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 46d | Yes | 4 | 45¢ → 43¢ | $2 | −$0 −5.6% |
| Bank of England increases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2026 meeting?Ends in 54d | Yes | 6 | 32¢ → 31¢ | $2 | −$0 −4.7% |
| Will the Fed Pause-Hike-Pause in the next three decisions (Oct-Dec-Jan)?Ends in 95d | No | 4 | 47¢ → 43¢ | $2 | −$0 −9.6% |
| Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by March 31, 2027?Ends in 159d | Yes | 4 | 38¢ → 36¢ | $2 | −$0 −6.6% |
| Will the Bank of Canada make no change to the target for the overnight rate at the December interest rate announcement?Ends in 46d | No | 3 | 48¢ → 47¢ | $1 | −$0 −2.1% |
| Reserve Bank of New Zealand increases interest rates by 25 bps at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | No | 6 | 34¢ → 14¢ | $1 | −$1 −60% |
| No change in Reserve Bank of New Zealand's interest rates at the October 2026 meeting?Ends in 4d | Yes | 6 | 31¢ → 13¢ | $1 | −$1 −58% |
| Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 72-73°F on October 23?Ends ended | No | 4 | 54¢ → 9¢ | $0 | −$2 −84% |
| Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 20°C on October 22?Ends ended | No | 7 | 36¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$2 −96% |
| Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on October 22?Ends ended | No | 6 | 45¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$2 −97% |
| Will the highest temperature in Munich be 13°C on October 22?Ends ended | No | 7 | 34¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on October 22?Ends ended | No | 3 | 67¢ → 1¢ | $0 | −$2 −99% |
| Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on October 22?Ends ended | Yes | 11 | 10¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$1 −98% |
| Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 20°C on October 22?Ends ended | No | 4 | 58¢ → <1¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:55AM-1:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 43¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 21, 9:15PM-9:20PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 58¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 20, 11:05AM-11:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 63¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 6:20AM-6:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 12 | 42¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$5 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 7:40PM-7:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 53¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 21, 4:55AM-5:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 20, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 35¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40AM-2:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 9 | 34¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 12:05PM-12:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 5 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:35AM-8:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 37¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 4:50AM-4:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 8:00AM-8:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 4:00PM-4:05PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$4 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 79¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:10AM-12:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:15AM-7:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 3:10AM-3:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 38¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:40PM-1:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 17 | 11¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 21, 10:10AM-10:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 20, 3:20AM-3:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 21, 10:35AM-10:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 80¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 9:35AM-9:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:00AM-6:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 68¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:30PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - October 21, 6:25AM-6:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 20, 9:50AM-9:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 20, 7:30AM-7:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:20AM-8:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 46¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 20, 8:10AM-8:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 1 | 75¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 20, 7:05AM-7:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 84¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 4:05AM-4:10AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:50PM-8:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:55PM-10:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 86¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50PM-12:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 74¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 9:40AM-9:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 10 | 29¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 5:05PM-5:10PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 3:45PM-3:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 6 | 47¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:35AM-3:40AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 20, 6:40AM-6:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 3:45AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 67¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 20, 10:15AM-10:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 8:00PM-12:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 68 | 78¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$53 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:00PM-4:00PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 62¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 20, 2:20AM-2:25AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:40PM-2:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 19, 7:30PM-7:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 10:25AM-10:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 59¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 20, 4:10AM-4:15AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 31¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 20, 11:25AM-11:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:30AM-8:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 44¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:50AM-6:55AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 70¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 6:25PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 6 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 6:45AM-6:50AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 25 | 12¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 69¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 9:20PM-9:25PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 40¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 20, 12:40PM-12:45PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 5 | 39¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 5:00AM-5:05AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 4 | 73¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$3 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - October 20, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 3 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 20, 5:40AM-5:45AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 65¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:55AM-7:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 54¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 19, 8:25PM-8:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 2 | 56¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Ethereum Up or Down - October 21, 8:30PM-8:35PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 4 | 57¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 7:25AM-7:30AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 11 | 9¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Dogecoin Up or Down - October 22, 3:15AM-3:20AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 3 | 64¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| XRP Up or Down - October 20, 3:55AM-4:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 1 | 77¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Down | 8 | 22¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 1:55AM-2:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 118 | 17¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$20 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 19, 6:15PM-6:30PM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 72¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 21, 10:55AM-11:00AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 81¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$2 −100% |
| Solana Up or Down - October 20, 1:30AM-1:35AM ETSettled - ready to redeem | Up | 2 | 71¢ → 0¢ | $0 | −$1 −100% |
